Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.007885 0.008866 0.009939 0.011200 0.012647 0.014257 0.016191
2025-01-19 0.006137 0.007424 0.008951 0.010909 0.013366 0.016371 0.020353
2025-01-26 0.005286 0.006708 0.008491 0.010912 0.014147 0.018368 0.024370
2025-02-02 0.004870 0.006430 0.008477 0.011396 0.015511 0.021192 0.029786
2025-02-09 0.004366 0.005954 0.008116 0.011326 0.016057 0.022909 0.033841
2025-02-16 0.004016 0.005636 0.007919 0.011433 0.016828 0.024995 0.038688
2025-02-23 0.003651 0.005253 0.007575 0.011268 0.017143 0.026393 0.042611
2025-03-02 0.003424 0.005045 0.007461 0.011423 0.017952 0.028636 0.048219
2025-03-09 0.003172 0.004773 0.007219 0.011342 0.018353 0.030236 0.052921
2025-03-16 0.002866 0.004389 0.006766 0.010867 0.018030 0.030545 0.055295
2025-03-23 0.002683 0.004185 0.006578 0.010810 0.018413 0.032124 0.060278
2025-03-30 0.002628 0.004180 0.006713 0.011314 0.019838 0.035764 0.069874
2025-04-06 0.002403 0.003885 0.006349 0.010924 0.019620 0.036353 0.073481
2025-04-13 0.002217 0.003642 0.006057 0.010640 0.019580 0.037300 0.078067
2025-04-20 0.002097 0.003501 0.005929 0.010643 0.020090 0.039411 0.085603
2025-04-27 0.002057 0.003498 0.006044 0.011114 0.021587 0.043782 0.099224
2025-05-04 0.001944 0.003354 0.005890 0.011046 0.021962 0.045777 0.107466
2025-05-11 0.001863 0.003263 0.005827 0.011150 0.022710 0.048706 0.118656
2025-05-18 0.001757 0.003116 0.005644 0.010990 0.022858 0.050260 0.126511
2025-05-25 0.001696 0.003050 0.005613 0.011141 0.023719 0.053630 0.140068
2025-06-01 0.001613 0.002937 0.005479 0.011062 0.024041 0.055725 0.150430
2025-06-08 0.001495 0.002748 0.005182 0.010600 0.023409 0.055326 0.153297
2025-06-15 0.001429 0.002656 0.005073 0.010545 0.023752 0.057497 0.164561